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Are You Naive or a Natural?

"You're only young once, but you can be immature forever." - Germaine Greer.


Have you ever benchmarked where your organization sits on a risk maturity scale?


David Hillson devised a useful scale listing four increasing levels of risk maturity: Naïve, Novice, Normalized and Natural.


Fun representation of the risk maturity ladder

In order to deliver best practice commodity and financial risk management it is important to benchmark where you sit on the scale and understand the steps needed to improve your risk management capability.


At Forge aHedge we are producing tools and services to help you achieve best practice price risk management, help protect volatile supply chains and margins, and help you add strategic value to your business.


In a series of concise, action oriented guides we will help you progress up the risk maturity ladder.

To benchmark yourself and understand where you currently sit here are some characteristics that define each risk maturity level.


Level 1 - Naive

  • Unaware of the need for risk management

  • Lack structured approach for monitoring commodity prices and related risks

  • Risk management processes are reactive

  • Little or no attempt to learn from past commodity price volatility or prepare for the future

  • No commodity risk processes or experience

  • Senior management fearful of using derivatives for commodity hedging


Level 2 - Novice

  • Begun to experiment with commodity risk management

  • No formal or structured generic processes to manage commodity price risk are in place

  • Awareness of the potential benefits of managing risk exists

  • Ad hoc risk management processes depend on key individuals with limited experience

  • Spreadsheet based commodity risk management by procurement or treasury

  • No formal governance structure in place for commodity risk management

Four stage risk maturity ladder

Level 3 - Normalized

  • Management of commodity risk integrated into routine business practices

  • Governance structure for commodity risk in place with designated departments or individuals

  • Formalized and widespread commodity risk processes with regular reporting

  • Benefits of risk management understood at all levels of the organization

  • Culture recognizes the existence of risk and expects benefits from managing it

  • Full benefits of commodity price risk management not always realized


Level 4 - Natural

  • Risk-aware organizational culture with a proactive approach to commodity risk management

  • Uses commodity risk management and data to improve business processes and gain a competitive advantage

  • Pro-active commodity risk processes both reduce impact of adverse price movements and take advantage of favourable opportunities

  • Best-practice processes and tools implemented in procurement, finance or treasury

  • Processes are fully automated subject to control requirements

  • Flexible reporting delivers oversight to risk managers and insight to senior management


In the next article we will outline practical suggestions for those who have categorized their organizations as Naïve to move up the risk maturity ladder. We do not want you be the next commodity risk disaster case study or fulfill the words of Carroll Bryant when she said “Everyone in life has a purpose, even if it’s to serve as a bad example.”


Let’s Forge aHedge!

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